Misprice

Infrastructure-grade execution.

Misprice is a production system running on EC2 with a modular architecture designed for auditability and extension.

Execution Pipeline

1
Adapters
Pull prices from markets and prediction platforms
2
Orchestrator
Timed cycles, adapter health, freshness gates
3
Snapshot Store
Time-versioned, immutable market states
4
Truth Models
Estimate fair probabilities from multiple sources
5
Edge Detector
Surface mispricing only when all gates pass
6
Evidence Log
Hash-chained, tamper-evident decision records

Orchestrator

  • •Python-based scheduler
  • •Configurable cycle intervals
  • •Health check integration
  • •Graceful degradation modes

Adapters

  • •Pluggable architecture
  • •Standardized output schema
  • •Source health tracking
  • •Rate limiting + retry logic

Snapshot Store

  • •SQLite (proof phase)
  • •Time-indexed queries
  • •Hash verification on read
  • •PostgreSQL planned for prod

Truth Models

  • •Modular model registry
  • •Weighted synthesis
  • •Confidence intervals
  • •Calibration tracking

Edge Detector

  • •Compare truth to live prices
  • •Apply confidence gates
  • •Liquidity thresholds
  • •Surface or block signals

Evidence Log

  • •Append-only structure
  • •SHA-256 chaining
  • •JSON-serialized entries
  • •Export for audit

Deployment

EC2 (t3.micro)Python 3.11SQLiteSystemdCloudWatch

Running 24/7 during proof phase. ~$12/month infrastructure cost.

View ProofSee Roadmap