Misprice

How Misprice executes.

A deterministic pipeline that pulls markets, estimates truth, detects edges, and logs everything with cryptographic receipts.

The Core Loop

1
Adapters
Pull prices from markets and prediction platforms
2
Orchestrator
Timed cycles, adapter health, freshness gates
3
Snapshot Store
Time-versioned, immutable market states
4
Truth Models
Estimate fair probabilities from multiple sources
5
Edge Detector
Surface mispricing only when all gates pass
6
Evidence Log
Hash-chained, tamper-evident decision records

Active Kill Switches

Edges are blocked or downgraded when any gate fails:

StalenessLiquidityOverroundVolatilityConfidenceTiming

All gates must pass for a signal to surface.

What This Is Not

  • Not a tips service
  • Not a guaranteed alpha generator
  • Not a black box
  • Not financial advice
  • An execution system with receipts
  • A proof-first infrastructure project
  • A transparent, auditable pipeline

See the system in action.