Proof, not promises.
Misprice runs a public proof phase. Here's what it proves — and what it doesn't.
System Status
LIVE
Proof PhaseDay 14 / 28
Uptime
99.7%
Cycles—
Settlements—
Evidence Hashes—
Last Health CheckConnecting...
Live metrics will update automatically during proof phase.
What This Proves
- ✓The system runs continuously without crashes
- ✓Data pipelines collect and normalize successfully
- ✓Evidence chains are unbroken and hash-verifiable
- ✓Decision logic waits for event finality before marking outcomes
- ✓Gates block actions when thresholds fail
- ✓Daily and weekly reports generate automatically
What This Does NOT Prove
- ✗That probability models are well-calibrated
- ✗That decisions improve on random baseline
- ✗That paper simulations reflect real-world conditions
- ✗That historical patterns will persist
We are proving the system works. We are not claiming it makes money.
Evidence Chain
Every action in Misprice produces a hash. These hashes chain together — if any input changes, the hash changes. You can verify any signal's provenance back to raw market data.
Snapshot → SHA-256(market_state + timestamp)
Signal → SHA-256(inputs + decision + rationale)
Settlement → SHA-256(signal_hash + outcome + gamma_flag)
Evidence Chain
Awaiting live connection
Evidence entries will appear here during proof phase.
Weekly Proof Reports
Every week, we publish:
- Settled event count
- Kill switch activation rate
- Edge quality distribution
- Model calibration metrics (predicted vs actual)
- System health summary
Reports are timestamped and hash-signed.
Digital Twin Validation
PASS
The Anti-Hallucination Test: We run Misprice against synthetic data with no alpha (Null World). If the system finds edges in random data, it's hallucinating.
Expected Edge Rate
~0%
Observed Edge Rate
< 0.5%
Last run: Pending live data